Yavapai, Arizona — Presidential Election Results
Yavapai, Arizona has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 28.6 pts more Rep. than Arizona overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 40,144 | 58.8% | 23.6 pts (16,081 votes) | 68,228 | — | 18.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 53,468 | 61.2% | 23.3 pts (20,341 votes) | 87,389 | +1.6 pts | 12.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 61,192 | 61.4% | 24.4 pts (24,303 votes) | 99,648 | -1.3 pts | 16.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 64,468 | 64.3% | 30.5 pts (30,550 votes) | 100,283 | -6.3 pts | 21.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 71,330 | 62.3% | 31.2 pts (35,740 votes) | 114,450 | -2.4 pts | 29.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 91,527 | 63.9% | 29.3 pts (41,925 votes) | 143,221 | +3.7 pts | 30.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 99,346 | 66.5% | 33.9 pts (50,629 votes) | 149,428 | -4.5 pts | 28.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 168,608 | 40.5% of population |
| 2004 | 187,822 | 46.5% of population |
| 2008 | 211,211 | 47.2% of population |
| 2012 | 211,990 | 47.3% of population |
| 2016 | 224,575 | 51.0% of population |
| 2020 | 237,228 | 60.4% of population |
| 2024 | 252,013 | 59.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Yavapai shifted 9.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Yavapai has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arizona Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Yavapai voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Yavapai has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Yavapai?
Yavapai's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 23.5 points (20,341 votes) out of 87,389 total votes cast.
Has Yavapai ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Yavapai has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Yavapai?
The widest margin on record for Yavapai was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 34.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Yavapai relative to its population?
In 2024, 149,428 votes were recorded in Yavapai against a total population of 252,013 (59.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Yavapai a presidential bellwether county?
Yavapai has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).