Gila, Arizona — Presidential Election Results

Gila, Arizona has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 32.4 pts more Rep. than Arizona overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Arizona
2000 George W. Bush Republican 9,158 51.6% 8.2 pts (1,458 votes) 17,736 — 2.1 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 12,343 59.2% 19.3 pts (4,029 votes) 20,843 -10.9 pts 9.0 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 14,095 63.1% 27.8 pts (6,211 votes) 22,333 -8.8 pts 19.6 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 13,455 62.5% 26.7 pts (5,758 votes) 21,528 +1.0 pts 18.0 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 14,182 63.6% 32.2 pts (7,179 votes) 22,312 -6.7 pts 30.1 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 18,377 66.4% 34.1 pts (9,434 votes) 27,662 -0.6 pts 34.8 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 18,901 68.2% 37.5 pts (10,397 votes) 27,698 -3.4 pts 32.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 51,332 34.6% of population
2004 51,423 40.5% of population
2008 53,437 41.8% of population
2012 52,994 40.6% of population
2016 53,356 41.8% of population
2020 53,355 51.8% of population
2024 54,073 51.2% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Gila shifted 29.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+8.6 pts 2004: R+19.5 pts 2008: R+28.3 pts 2012: R+27.2 pts 2016: R+33.9 pts 2020: R+34.5 pts 2024: R+37.9 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Gila has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Arizona Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Gila voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Gila has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Gila?

Gila's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 8.6 points (1,458 votes) out of 17,736 total votes cast.

Has Gila ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Gila has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Gila?

The widest margin on record for Gila was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 37.9 points.

How many votes were cast in Gila relative to its population?

In 2024, 27,698 votes were recorded in Gila against a total population of 54,073 (51.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Gila a presidential bellwether county?

Gila has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).