Graham, Arizona — Presidential Election Results
Graham, Arizona has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 43.0 pts more Rep. than Arizona overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,007 | 62.2% | 27.4 pts (2,652 votes) | 9,664 | — | 21.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,467 | 69.7% | 39.9 pts (4,282 votes) | 10,720 | -11.9 pts | 29.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 8,376 | 69.8% | 40.7 pts (4,889 votes) | 12,007 | -1.0 pts | 32.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 8,076 | 68.1% | 37.7 pts (4,467 votes) | 11,855 | +3.0 pts | 29.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 8,025 | 66.1% | 38.9 pts (4,724 votes) | 12,134 | -3.5 pts | 37.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 10,749 | 71.7% | 44.8 pts (6,715 votes) | 14,995 | -3.7 pts | 45.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 11,177 | 73.5% | 48.0 pts (7,310 votes) | 15,215 | -3.2 pts | 43.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 33,511 | 28.8% of population |
| 2004 | 32,703 | 32.8% of population |
| 2008 | 36,639 | 32.8% of population |
| 2012 | 37,015 | 32.0% of population |
| 2016 | 37,807 | 32.1% of population |
| 2020 | 38,630 | 38.8% of population |
| 2024 | 40,242 | 37.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Graham shifted 20.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Graham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arizona Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Graham voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Graham has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Graham?
Graham's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 28.3 points (2,652 votes) out of 9,664 total votes cast.
Has Graham ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Graham has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Graham?
The widest margin on record for Graham was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 48.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Graham relative to its population?
In 2024, 15,215 votes were recorded in Graham against a total population of 40,242 (37.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Graham a presidential bellwether county?
Graham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).