Navajo, Arizona — Presidential Election Results

Navajo, Arizona has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 11.8 pts more Rep. than Arizona overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Arizona
2000 George W. Bush Republican 12,386 49.3% 2.4 pts (592 votes) 25,147 — 4.1 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 17,277 53.4% 7.6 pts (2,462 votes) 32,343 -5.2 pts 2.9 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 19,761 55.2% 11.7 pts (4,182 votes) 35,800 -4.2 pts 3.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 19,884 53.3% 7.9 pts (2,939 votes) 37,335 +3.9 pts 1.2 pts more Dem.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 20,577 51.1% 10.2 pts (4,118 votes) 40,294 -3.1 pts 7.3 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 27,657 53.4% 8.3 pts (4,274 votes) 51,767 +2.7 pts 8.7 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 29,480 58.0% 17.2 pts (8,726 votes) 50,847 -9.0 pts 11.8 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 97,689 25.7% of population
2004 102,774 31.5% of population
2008 107,626 33.3% of population
2012 107,313 34.8% of population
2016 108,467 37.1% of population
2020 106,773 48.5% of population
2024 109,516 46.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Navajo shifted 14.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+2.4 pts 2004: R+7.7 pts 2008: R+11.8 pts 2012: R+8.0 pts 2016: R+11.1 pts 2020: R+8.4 pts 2024: R+17.4 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Navajo has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Arizona Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Navajo voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Navajo has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Navajo?

Navajo's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 2.4 points (592 votes) out of 25,147 total votes cast.

Has Navajo ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Navajo has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Navajo?

The widest margin on record for Navajo was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 17.4 points.

How many votes were cast in Navajo relative to its population?

In 2024, 50,847 votes were recorded in Navajo against a total population of 109,516 (46.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Navajo a presidential bellwether county?

Navajo has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).