Pinal, Arizona — Presidential Election Results
Pinal, Arizona has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 16.7 pts more Rep. than Arizona overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,122 | 48.7% | 1.1 pts (472 votes) | 41,290 | — | 5.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 37,006 | 57.3% | 15.1 pts (9,754 votes) | 64,622 | -14.0 pts | 4.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 59,421 | 56.7% | 14.5 pts (15,167 votes) | 104,883 | +0.6 pts | 6.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 62,079 | 57.3% | 16.4 pts (17,773 votes) | 108,315 | -2.1 pts | 7.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 72,819 | 56.2% | 19.2 pts (24,927 votes) | 129,546 | -3.9 pts | 16.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 107,077 | 57.9% | 17.3 pts (31,971 votes) | 184,974 | +3.1 pts | 17.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 126,926 | 60.4% | 22.0 pts (46,270 votes) | 210,173 | -4.7 pts | 16.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 181,280 | 22.8% of population |
| 2004 | 219,472 | 29.4% of population |
| 2008 | 335,311 | 31.3% of population |
| 2012 | 382,251 | 28.3% of population |
| 2016 | 417,193 | 31.1% of population |
| 2020 | 430,213 | 43.0% of population |
| 2024 | 513,862 | 40.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Pinal shifted 21.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Pinal has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arizona Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Pinal voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Pinal has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Pinal?
Pinal's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 1.2 points (472 votes) out of 41,290 total votes cast.
Has Pinal ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Pinal has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Pinal?
The widest margin on record for Pinal was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 22.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Pinal relative to its population?
In 2024, 210,173 votes were recorded in Pinal against a total population of 513,862 (40.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Pinal a presidential bellwether county?
Pinal has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).