Coconino, Arizona — Presidential Election Results

Coconino, Arizona has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 25.8 pts more Dem. than Arizona overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Arizona
2000 Al Gore Democratic 20,280 49.6% 6.6 pts (2,718 votes) 40,883 — 13.7 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 29,243 55.9% 12.9 pts (6,717 votes) 52,267 +5.8 pts 23.5 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 31,433 57.8% 17.0 pts (9,247 votes) 54,344 +4.3 pts 25.9 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 29,257 56.6% 15.5 pts (8,037 votes) 51,731 -1.3 pts 25.1 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 32,404 54.2% 18.9 pts (11,296 votes) 59,784 +5.2 pts 24.9 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 44,698 61.0% 24.1 pts (17,646 votes) 73,272 +3.5 pts 24.3 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 41,504 59.0% 19.8 pts (13,928 votes) 70,374 -4.4 pts 25.8 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 116,773 35.0% of population
2004 125,117 41.8% of population
2008 131,853 41.2% of population
2012 136,146 38.0% of population
2016 140,407 42.6% of population
2020 145,190 50.5% of population
2024 145,161 48.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Coconino shifted 13.0 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+7.2 pts 2004: D+13.0 pts 2008: D+17.2 pts 2012: D+15.9 pts 2016: D+21.1 pts 2020: D+24.6 pts 2024: D+20.2 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Coconino has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Arizona Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Coconino voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Coconino has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Coconino?

Coconino's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 7.2 points (2,718 votes) out of 40,883 total votes cast.

Has Coconino ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Coconino has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Coconino?

The widest margin on record for Coconino was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 24.6 points.

How many votes were cast in Coconino relative to its population?

In 2024, 70,374 votes were recorded in Coconino against a total population of 145,161 (48.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Coconino a presidential bellwether county?

Coconino has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).