Cochise, Arizona — Presidential Election Results
Cochise, Arizona has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 17.8 pts more Rep. than Arizona overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 18,180 | 54.7% | 14.5 pts (4,820 votes) | 33,241 | — | 8.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 26,556 | 59.7% | 20.3 pts (9,042 votes) | 44,483 | -5.2 pts | 10.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 29,026 | 59.5% | 20.7 pts (10,083 votes) | 48,820 | -0.5 pts | 12.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 29,497 | 60.2% | 22.3 pts (10,951 votes) | 49,003 | -1.8 pts | 13.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 28,092 | 56.2% | 21.3 pts (10,642 votes) | 50,015 | -0.6 pts | 19.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 35,557 | 58.8% | 19.6 pts (11,825 votes) | 60,442 | +3.4 pts | 20.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 35,936 | 60.8% | 23.1 pts (13,640 votes) | 59,135 | -3.5 pts | 17.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 118,132 | 28.1% of population |
| 2004 | 123,234 | 36.1% of population |
| 2008 | 129,023 | 37.8% of population |
| 2012 | 132,017 | 37.1% of population |
| 2016 | 125,686 | 39.8% of population |
| 2020 | 125,533 | 48.1% of population |
| 2024 | 125,773 | 47.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cochise shifted 8.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Cochise has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arizona Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Cochise voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Cochise has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Cochise?
Cochise's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 15.3 points (4,820 votes) out of 33,241 total votes cast.
Has Cochise ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Cochise has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cochise?
The widest margin on record for Cochise was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 23.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Cochise relative to its population?
In 2024, 59,135 votes were recorded in Cochise against a total population of 125,773 (47.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Cochise a presidential bellwether county?
Cochise has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).