La Paz, Arizona — Presidential Election Results
La Paz, Arizona has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 38.9 pts more Rep. than Arizona overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,543 | 56.7% | 17.3 pts (774 votes) | 4,483 | — | 11.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,158 | 62.5% | 25.9 pts (1,309 votes) | 5,055 | -8.2 pts | 15.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,509 | 63.2% | 28.5 pts (1,580 votes) | 5,552 | -2.9 pts | 20.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,714 | 65.0% | 32.1 pts (1,834 votes) | 5,717 | -3.7 pts | 23.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,003 | 67.3% | 40.8 pts (2,428 votes) | 5,951 | -10.7 pts | 39.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,129 | 68.8% | 38.8 pts (2,893 votes) | 7,458 | +4.2 pts | 39.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,470 | 71.6% | 44.1 pts (3,369 votes) | 7,643 | -5.2 pts | 38.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 19,611 | 22.9% of population |
| 2004 | 19,979 | 25.3% of population |
| 2008 | 20,555 | 27.0% of population |
| 2012 | 20,521 | 27.9% of population |
| 2016 | 20,648 | 28.8% of population |
| 2020 | 16,573 | 45.0% of population |
| 2024 | 16,992 | 45.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in La Paz shifted 26.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
La Paz has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arizona Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has La Paz voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, La Paz has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in La Paz?
La Paz's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 17.9 points (774 votes) out of 4,483 total votes cast.
Has La Paz ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- La Paz has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in La Paz?
The widest margin on record for La Paz was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 44.5 points.
How many votes were cast in La Paz relative to its population?
In 2024, 7,643 votes were recorded in La Paz against a total population of 16,992 (45.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is La Paz a presidential bellwether county?
La Paz has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).