Santa Cruz, Arizona — Presidential Election Results
Santa Cruz, Arizona has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 24.4 pts more Dem. than Arizona overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 5,233 | 58.8% | 21.2 pts (1,889 votes) | 8,893 | — | 28.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 6,909 | 59.2% | 19.2 pts (2,241 votes) | 11,668 | -2.7 pts | 29.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 8,683 | 65.3% | 31.3 pts (4,165 votes) | 13,303 | +12.2 pts | 40.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 9,486 | 68.3% | 37.8 pts (5,251 votes) | 13,894 | +6.7 pts | 47.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 11,690 | 71.1% | 47.4 pts (7,793 votes) | 16,433 | +11.7 pts | 53.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 13,138 | 67.2% | 35.5 pts (6,944 votes) | 19,556 | -14.1 pts | 35.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 11,265 | 58.8% | 18.6 pts (3,566 votes) | 19,167 | -17.1 pts | 24.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 38,589 | 23.0% of population |
| 2004 | 41,623 | 28.0% of population |
| 2008 | 46,144 | 28.8% of population |
| 2012 | 47,359 | 29.3% of population |
| 2016 | 46,400 | 35.4% of population |
| 2020 | 47,712 | 41.0% of population |
| 2024 | 50,508 | 37.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Santa Cruz shifted 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Santa Cruz has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arizona Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Santa Cruz voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Santa Cruz has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Santa Cruz?
Santa Cruz's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 18.8 points (3,566 votes) out of 19,167 total votes cast.
Has Santa Cruz ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Santa Cruz has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Santa Cruz?
The widest margin on record for Santa Cruz was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 50.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Santa Cruz relative to its population?
In 2024, 19,167 votes were recorded in Santa Cruz against a total population of 50,508 (37.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Santa Cruz a presidential bellwether county?
Santa Cruz has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Arizona's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).