District 40, Alaska — Presidential Election Results

District 40, Alaska has voted Republican in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 3.0 pts more Dem. than Alaska overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Alaska
2000 George W. Bush Republican 1,831 56.8% 25.0 pts (807 votes) 3,226 — 7.6 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 3,217 55.6% 15.4 pts (889 votes) 5,788 +12.2 pts 7.6 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 2,686 53.7% 11.0 pts (549 votes) 5,000 +4.6 pts 10.7 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 2,717 64.2% 32.3 pts (1,370 votes) 4,235 +45.1 pts 48.3 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 2,338 50.7% 20.8 pts (961 votes) 4,610 -7.8 pts 42.6 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 2,318 50.4% 7.0 pts (324 votes) 4,603 -18.4 pts 18.0 pts more Dem.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 1,688 51.3% 9.9 pts (326 votes) 3,293 -18.2 pts 3.0 pts more Dem.

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in District 40 shifted 17.6 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+28.3 pts 2004: R+16.0 pts 2008: R+11.4 pts 2012: D+33.7 pts 2016: D+25.9 pts 2020: D+7.5 pts 2024: R+10.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

District 40 has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Alaska Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has District 40 voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, District 40 has voted Democratic in 3 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 4 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in District 40?

District 40's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 7.5 points (324 votes) out of 4,603 total votes cast.

Has District 40 ever flipped between parties?

Yes. District 40 changed which party won the county in: 2012, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in District 40?

The widest margin on record for District 40 was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 33.7 points.

Is District 40 a presidential bellwether county?

District 40 has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).