District 15, Alaska — Presidential Election Results
District 15, Alaska has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 11.1 pts more Dem. than Alaska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Alaska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,453 | 41.8% | 5.9 pts (347 votes) | 5,870 | — | 28.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,058 | 65.3% | 34.4 pts (5,292 votes) | 15,400 | -28.1 pts | 12.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 8,227 | 74.2% | 51.6 pts (5,717 votes) | 11,086 | -17.5 pts | 31.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 3,283 | 50.9% | 6.3 pts (408 votes) | 6,451 | +59.9 pts | 21.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,525 | 50.7% | 14.0 pts (697 votes) | 4,982 | -22.6 pts | 0.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,671 | 48.0% | 0.9 pts (49 votes) | 5,559 | +15.1 pts | 9.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,594 | 49.4% | 2.5 pts (230 votes) | 9,293 | -1.6 pts | 11.1 pts more Dem. |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in District 15 shifted 5.0 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
District 15 has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Alaska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has District 15 voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, District 15 has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in District 15?
District 15's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 0.9 points (49 votes) out of 5,559 total votes cast.
Has District 15 ever flipped between parties?
Yes. District 15 changed which party won the county in: 2012, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in District 15?
The widest margin on record for District 15 was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 53.2 points.
Is District 15 a presidential bellwether county?
District 15 has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).