District 16, Alaska — Presidential Election Results
District 16, Alaska has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2012. In 2024, it was 29.0 pts more Dem. than Alaska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Alaska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,980 | 42.3% | 0.2 pts (11 votes) | 4,685 | — | 35.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,587 | 66.8% | 36.6 pts (5,796 votes) | 15,840 | -37.4 pts | 14.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 7,774 | 72.7% | 48.0 pts (5,138 votes) | 10,697 | -11.7 pts | 27.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 4,013 | 55.9% | 15.8 pts (1,137 votes) | 7,181 | +65.9 pts | 31.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 3,294 | 44.3% | 1.2 pts (91 votes) | 7,436 | -15.1 pts | 18.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 4,274 | 52.6% | 9.3 pts (758 votes) | 8,118 | +8.3 pts | 20.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 5,344 | 55.3% | 14.6 pts (1,415 votes) | 9,669 | +5.5 pts | 29.0 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 5,470 | 85.6% of population |
| 2004 | 5,798 | 273.2% of population |
| 2008 | 5,393 | 198.3% of population |
| 2012 | 5,676 | 126.5% of population |
| 2016 | 5,705 | 130.3% of population |
| 2020 | 5,223 | 155.4% of population |
| 2024 | 5,424 | 178.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in District 16 shifted 15.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
District 16 has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Alaska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has District 16 voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, District 16 has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in District 16?
District 16's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.3 points (11 votes) out of 4,685 total votes cast.
Has District 16 ever flipped between parties?
Yes. District 16 changed which party won the county in: 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in District 16?
The widest margin on record for District 16 was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 49.4 points.
How many votes were cast in District 16 relative to its population?
In 2024, 9,669 votes were recorded in District 16 against a total population of 5,424 (178.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is District 16 a presidential bellwether county?
District 16 has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).