District 12, Alaska — Presidential Election Results
District 12, Alaska has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2024. In 2024, it was 15.0 pts more Dem. than Alaska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Alaska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,626 | 60.9% | 33.9 pts (2,575 votes) | 7,601 | — | 2.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 8,108 | 68.5% | 39.9 pts (4,721 votes) | 11,845 | -2.5 pts | 17.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,467 | 72.0% | 46.8 pts (3,553 votes) | 7,589 | -7.1 pts | 26.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,300 | 66.3% | 37.0 pts (2,399 votes) | 6,482 | +9.4 pts | 24.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 6,629 | 69.5% | 49.3 pts (4,701 votes) | 9,543 | -16.3 pts | 38.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,893 | 70.2% | 43.9 pts (4,936 votes) | 11,238 | +9.4 pts | 35.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 4,169 | 49.0% | 1.3 pts (110 votes) | 8,515 | +46.8 pts | 15.0 pts more Dem. |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in District 12 shifted 39.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
District 12 has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Alaska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has District 12 voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, District 12 has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in District 12?
District 12's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 1.3 points (110 votes) out of 8,515 total votes cast.
Has District 12 ever flipped between parties?
Yes. District 12 changed which party won the county in: 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in District 12?
The widest margin on record for District 12 was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 54.9 points.
Is District 12 a presidential bellwether county?
District 12 has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).