District 4, Alaska — Presidential Election Results

District 4, Alaska has voted Republican in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2016. In 2024, it was 52.9 pts more Dem. than Alaska overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Alaska
2000 George W. Bush Republican 4,127 52.8% 18.0 pts (1,412 votes) 7,823 — 15.2 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 5,802 52.8% 9.4 pts (1,034 votes) 10,987 +10.9 pts 13.9 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,302 49.2% 1.6 pts (141 votes) 8,736 +8.1 pts 20.5 pts more Dem.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 3,586 52.8% 10.6 pts (722 votes) 6,787 -9.5 pts 3.4 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 4,162 43.7% 1.0 pts (92 votes) 9,521 +12.3 pts 17.9 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 5,345 50.9% 6.2 pts (655 votes) 10,511 +5.4 pts 17.1 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 6,161 66.5% 37.4 pts (3,470 votes) 9,270 +32.7 pts 52.9 pts more Dem.

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in District 4 shifted 59.8 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+20.6 pts 2004: R+9.8 pts 2008: R+1.7 pts 2012: R+11.2 pts 2016: D+1.1 pts 2020: D+6.5 pts 2024: D+39.2 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

District 4 has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Alaska Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has District 4 voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, District 4 has voted Democratic in 3 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 4 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in District 4?

District 4's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 1.1 points (92 votes) out of 9,521 total votes cast.

Has District 4 ever flipped between parties?

Yes. District 4 changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in District 4?

The widest margin on record for District 4 was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 39.2 points.

Is District 4 a presidential bellwether county?

District 4 has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).