District 38, Alaska — Presidential Election Results
District 38, Alaska has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 26.8 pts more Dem. than Alaska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Alaska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,467 | 49.6% | 9.1 pts (452 votes) | 4,976 | — | 25.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,459 | 48.5% | 1.8 pts (93 votes) | 5,075 | +8.2 pts | 21.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 2,549 | 52.9% | 10.2 pts (493 votes) | 4,820 | +12.6 pts | 32.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 4,101 | 60.2% | 27.0 pts (1,842 votes) | 6,814 | +18.3 pts | 43.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 2,758 | 54.1% | 30.7 pts (1,564 votes) | 5,095 | +12.4 pts | 58.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 3,202 | 60.4% | 27.6 pts (1,465 votes) | 5,299 | -11.7 pts | 40.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 2,028 | 50.8% | 11.8 pts (470 votes) | 3,994 | -16.6 pts | 26.8 pts more Dem. |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in District 38 shifted 23.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
District 38 has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Alaska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has District 38 voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, District 38 has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in District 38?
District 38's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 1.9 points (93 votes) out of 5,075 total votes cast.
Has District 38 ever flipped between parties?
Yes. District 38 changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in District 38?
The widest margin on record for District 38 was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 41.4 points.
Is District 38 a presidential bellwether county?
District 38 has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).