District 31, Alaska — Presidential Election Results
District 31, Alaska has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 10.2 pts more Dem. than Alaska overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Alaska |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,326 | 55.8% | 25.1 pts (1,495 votes) | 5,965 | — | 6.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,605 | 62.9% | 28.1 pts (4,290 votes) | 15,270 | +0.2 pts | 5.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 6,419 | 62.8% | 27.6 pts (2,823 votes) | 10,220 | +0.6 pts | 6.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 4,679 | 50.1% | 4.9 pts (460 votes) | 9,335 | +33.4 pts | 19.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,617 | 55.2% | 21.1 pts (2,151 votes) | 10,182 | -28.9 pts | 6.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,971 | 56.2% | 15.6 pts (1,934 votes) | 12,410 | +7.6 pts | 5.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,475 | 49.6% | 3.4 pts (235 votes) | 7,003 | +12.6 pts | 10.2 pts more Dem. |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in District 31 shifted 25.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
District 31 has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Alaska Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has District 31 voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, District 31 has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in District 31?
District 31's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 3.5 points (235 votes) out of 7,003 total votes cast.
Has District 31 ever flipped between parties?
Yes. District 31 changed which party won the county in: 2012, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in District 31?
The widest margin on record for District 31 was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 29.0 points.
Is District 31 a presidential bellwether county?
District 31 has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).