District 21, Alaska — Presidential Election Results

District 21, Alaska has voted Republican in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2016. In 2024, it was 22.1 pts more Dem. than Alaska overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Alaska
2000 George W. Bush Republican 3,263 49.2% 14.4 pts (954 votes) 6,629 — 18.8 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 8,818 60.1% 22.7 pts (3,330 votes) 14,671 -6.2 pts 0.4 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,837 55.8% 13.7 pts (1,190 votes) 8,675 +9.3 pts 8.1 pts more Dem.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 5,262 59.4% 21.9 pts (1,946 votes) 8,866 -8.7 pts 8.1 pts more Rep.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 4,224 48.8% 8.6 pts (745 votes) 8,647 +32.4 pts 26.4 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 5,414 57.4% 18.3 pts (1,724 votes) 9,429 +9.3 pts 29.5 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 4,711 52.1% 8.0 pts (727 votes) 9,043 -10.6 pts 22.1 pts more Dem.

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in District 21 shifted 25.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+17.1 pts 2004: R+23.3 pts 2008: R+14.0 pts 2012: R+22.7 pts 2016: D+9.7 pts 2020: D+18.9 pts 2024: D+8.4 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

District 21 has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Alaska Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has District 21 voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, District 21 has voted Democratic in 3 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 4 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in District 21?

District 21's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 8.4 points (727 votes) out of 9,043 total votes cast.

Has District 21 ever flipped between parties?

Yes. District 21 changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in District 21?

The widest margin on record for District 21 was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 23.3 points.

Is District 21 a presidential bellwether county?

District 21 has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Alaska's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).