Union, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results

Union, New Mexico has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 59.6 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. New Mexico
2000 George W. Bush Republican 1,269 72.3% 46.6 pts (817 votes) 1,755 — 47.5 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 1,454 77.3% 55.4 pts (1,043 votes) 1,881 -8.5 pts 55.1 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 1,227 70.4% 42.2 pts (735 votes) 1,742 +13.2 pts 58.1 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 1,236 70.3% 43.4 pts (764 votes) 1,759 -2.0 pts 55.3 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 1,216 71.4% 52.6 pts (896 votes) 1,702 -13.6 pts 67.6 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 1,388 77.6% 56.2 pts (1,005 votes) 1,789 +1.6 pts 67.8 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 1,247 75.0% 52.3 pts (869 votes) 1,663 +3.3 pts 59.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 4,192 41.9% of population
2004 4,107 45.8% of population
2008 4,380 39.8% of population
2012 4,400 40.0% of population
2016 4,154 41.0% of population
2020 4,073 43.9% of population
2024 3,926 42.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Union shifted 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+47.5 pts 2004: R+55.9 pts 2008: R+42.8 pts 2012: R+44.7 pts 2016: R+58.3 pts 2020: R+56.7 pts 2024: R+53.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Union has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other New Mexico Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Union voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Union has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Union?

Union's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 42.8 points (735 votes) out of 1,742 total votes cast.

Has Union ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Union has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Union?

The widest margin on record for Union was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 58.3 points.

How many votes were cast in Union relative to its population?

In 2024, 1,663 votes were recorded in Union against a total population of 3,926 (42.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Union a presidential bellwether county?

Union has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).