Catron, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Catron, New Mexico has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 57.0 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,273 | 74.4% | 53.8 pts (920 votes) | 1,711 | — | 56.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,427 | 71.6% | 44.0 pts (876 votes) | 1,993 | +12.3 pts | 43.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,398 | 66.2% | 34.8 pts (734 votes) | 2,112 | +8.7 pts | 50.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,494 | 70.4% | 44.0 pts (934 votes) | 2,123 | -9.9 pts | 56.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,464 | 71.4% | 50.6 pts (1,037 votes) | 2,049 | -9.4 pts | 64.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,698 | 73.0% | 47.4 pts (1,103 votes) | 2,326 | +6.7 pts | 59.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,752 | 74.4% | 50.2 pts (1,181 votes) | 2,354 | -2.7 pts | 57.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 3,567 | 48.0% of population |
| 2004 | 3,468 | 57.5% of population |
| 2008 | 3,631 | 58.2% of population |
| 2012 | 3,635 | 58.4% of population |
| 2016 | 3,518 | 58.2% of population |
| 2020 | 3,609 | 64.4% of population |
| 2024 | 3,795 | 62.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Catron shifted 5.7 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Catron has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Catron voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Catron has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Catron?
Catron's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 35.6 points (734 votes) out of 2,112 total votes cast.
Has Catron ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Catron has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Catron?
The widest margin on record for Catron was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 56.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Catron relative to its population?
In 2024, 2,354 votes were recorded in Catron against a total population of 3,795 (62.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Catron a presidential bellwether county?
Catron has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).