Bernalillo, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Bernalillo, New Mexico has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 15.4 pts more Dem. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 99,461 | 48.7% | 2.1 pts (4,212 votes) | 204,319 | — | 2.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 132,252 | 51.5% | 4.2 pts (10,798 votes) | 256,811 | +2.1 pts | 5.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 171,556 | 60.0% | 21.4 pts (61,035 votes) | 285,778 | +17.4 pts | 6.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 150,739 | 55.6% | 16.4 pts (44,331 votes) | 270,969 | -4.4 pts | 6.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 143,417 | 52.2% | 17.7 pts (48,719 votes) | 274,662 | +3.2 pts | 11.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 193,757 | 61.0% | 24.4 pts (77,622 votes) | 317,590 | +4.6 pts | 14.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 184,117 | 59.2% | 21.0 pts (65,355 votes) | 310,844 | -3.5 pts | 15.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 557,601 | 36.6% of population |
| 2004 | 600,449 | 42.8% of population |
| 2008 | 646,879 | 44.2% of population |
| 2012 | 673,615 | 40.2% of population |
| 2016 | 677,683 | 40.5% of population |
| 2020 | 676,882 | 46.9% of population |
| 2024 | 671,747 | 46.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Bernalillo shifted 19.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Bernalillo has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Bernalillo voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Bernalillo has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Bernalillo?
Bernalillo's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 2.2 points (4,212 votes) out of 204,319 total votes cast.
Has Bernalillo ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Bernalillo has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Bernalillo?
The widest margin on record for Bernalillo was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 25.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Bernalillo relative to its population?
In 2024, 310,844 votes were recorded in Bernalillo against a total population of 671,747 (46.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Bernalillo a presidential bellwether county?
Bernalillo has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).