De Baca, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
De Baca, New Mexico has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 58.0 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 612 | 62.3% | 26.8 pts (263 votes) | 982 | — | 27.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 706 | 71.1% | 42.8 pts (425 votes) | 993 | -15.7 pts | 42.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 676 | 64.8% | 30.4 pts (317 votes) | 1,044 | +12.4 pts | 46.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 586 | 65.0% | 33.1 pts (299 votes) | 902 | -3.6 pts | 44.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 620 | 68.1% | 46.9 pts (427 votes) | 910 | -18.3 pts | 61.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 656 | 72.8% | 47.2 pts (425 votes) | 901 | +4.6 pts | 59.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 649 | 74.9% | 51.1 pts (443 votes) | 867 | -3.9 pts | 58.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2,218 | 44.3% of population |
| 2004 | 2,062 | 48.2% of population |
| 2008 | 2,000 | 52.2% of population |
| 2012 | 1,957 | 46.1% of population |
| 2016 | 1,835 | 49.6% of population |
| 2020 | 1,683 | 53.5% of population |
| 2024 | 1,657 | 52.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in De Baca shifted 24.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
De Baca has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has De Baca voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, De Baca has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in De Baca?
De Baca's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 27.4 points (263 votes) out of 982 total votes cast.
Has De Baca ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- De Baca has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in De Baca?
The widest margin on record for De Baca was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 52.5 points.
How many votes were cast in De Baca relative to its population?
In 2024, 867 votes were recorded in De Baca against a total population of 1,657 (52.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is De Baca a presidential bellwether county?
De Baca has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).