Harding, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Harding, New Mexico has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 45.9 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 366 | 61.7% | 25.6 pts (152 votes) | 593 | — | 26.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 380 | 59.0% | 18.8 pts (121 votes) | 644 | +7.3 pts | 18.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 358 | 57.2% | 15.7 pts (98 votes) | 626 | +3.1 pts | 31.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 327 | 54.4% | 11.1 pts (67 votes) | 601 | +4.4 pts | 22.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 311 | 59.0% | 29.4 pts (155 votes) | 527 | -21.8 pts | 42.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 319 | 63.2% | 27.7 pts (140 votes) | 505 | +5.1 pts | 39.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 297 | 69.9% | 39.8 pts (169 votes) | 425 | -11.7 pts | 45.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 801 | 74.0% of population |
| 2004 | 782 | 82.4% of population |
| 2008 | 690 | 90.7% of population |
| 2012 | 700 | 85.9% of population |
| 2016 | 687 | 76.7% of population |
| 2020 | 654 | 77.2% of population |
| 2024 | 635 | 66.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Harding shifted 13.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Harding has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Harding voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Harding has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Harding?
Harding's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 11.4 points (67 votes) out of 601 total votes cast.
Has Harding ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Harding has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Harding?
The widest margin on record for Harding was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 39.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Harding relative to its population?
In 2024, 425 votes were recorded in Harding against a total population of 635 (66.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Harding a presidential bellwether county?
Harding has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).