Cibola, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Cibola, New Mexico has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 4.6 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 4,127 | 58.2% | 19.4 pts (1,375 votes) | 7,088 | — | 19.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 3,913 | 52.3% | 5.8 pts (436 votes) | 7,487 | -14.1 pts | 6.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 5,827 | 64.1% | 29.6 pts (2,696 votes) | 9,097 | +24.2 pts | 14.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 4,961 | 60.2% | 23.8 pts (1,963 votes) | 8,243 | -5.4 pts | 14.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 3,741 | 46.4% | 6.8 pts (546 votes) | 8,063 | -16.8 pts | 1.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 4,745 | 53.3% | 8.6 pts (770 votes) | 8,903 | +1.0 pts | 2.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 4,450 | 49.6% | 1.5 pts (139 votes) | 8,977 | -7.2 pts | 4.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 25,633 | 27.7% of population |
| 2004 | 27,167 | 27.6% of population |
| 2008 | 27,259 | 33.4% of population |
| 2012 | 27,418 | 30.1% of population |
| 2016 | 27,049 | 29.8% of population |
| 2020 | 26,969 | 33.0% of population |
| 2024 | 26,686 | 33.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cibola shifted 18.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Cibola has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Cibola voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Cibola has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Cibola?
Cibola's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 1.6 points (139 votes) out of 8,977 total votes cast.
Has Cibola ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Cibola has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cibola?
The widest margin on record for Cibola was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 30.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Cibola relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,977 votes were recorded in Cibola against a total population of 26,686 (33.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Cibola a presidential bellwether county?
Cibola has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).