Socorro, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results

Socorro, New Mexico has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 9.9 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. New Mexico
2000 Al Gore Democratic 3,294 48.3% 1.8 pts (121 votes) 6,826 — 1.8 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 4,025 51.3% 4.2 pts (329 votes) 7,851 +2.4 pts 5.1 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 4,696 59.5% 21.1 pts (1,664 votes) 7,895 +17.3 pts 6.2 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 4,058 56.4% 18.6 pts (1,336 votes) 7,193 -1.8 pts 9.1 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 3,313 48.2% 10.1 pts (697 votes) 6,868 -7.9 pts 2.5 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 3,722 52.0% 6.5 pts (467 votes) 7,160 -5.1 pts 4.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 3,651 50.5% 3.7 pts (267 votes) 7,233 -10.5 pts 9.9 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 18,002 37.9% of population
2004 17,944 43.8% of population
2008 17,966 43.9% of population
2012 17,475 41.2% of population
2016 16,964 40.5% of population
2020 16,559 43.2% of population
2024 15,967 45.3% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Socorro shifted 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+1.9 pts 2004: D+4.3 pts 2008: D+21.5 pts 2012: D+19.7 pts 2016: D+11.8 pts 2020: D+6.7 pts 2024: R+3.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Socorro has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other New Mexico Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Socorro voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Socorro has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Socorro?

Socorro's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 1.9 points (121 votes) out of 6,826 total votes cast.

Has Socorro ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Socorro changed which party won the county in: 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Socorro?

The widest margin on record for Socorro was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 21.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Socorro relative to its population?

In 2024, 7,233 votes were recorded in Socorro against a total population of 15,967 (45.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Socorro a presidential bellwether county?

Socorro has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).