Sierra, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Sierra, New Mexico has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 25.8 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,721 | 59.3% | 22.5 pts (1,032 votes) | 4,586 | — | 23.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,162 | 61.3% | 24.0 pts (1,236 votes) | 5,157 | -0.9 pts | 23.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,017 | 55.0% | 12.1 pts (665 votes) | 5,485 | +11.9 pts | 27.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,928 | 57.4% | 18.9 pts (964 votes) | 5,102 | -7.3 pts | 30.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,010 | 58.1% | 27.0 pts (1,398 votes) | 5,181 | -10.5 pts | 39.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,542 | 59.6% | 21.5 pts (1,277 votes) | 5,945 | +8.3 pts | 33.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,473 | 58.3% | 19.2 pts (1,141 votes) | 5,953 | +2.3 pts | 25.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 13,209 | 34.7% of population |
| 2004 | 12,382 | 41.6% of population |
| 2008 | 11,914 | 46.0% of population |
| 2012 | 11,854 | 43.0% of population |
| 2016 | 11,117 | 46.6% of population |
| 2020 | 11,565 | 51.4% of population |
| 2024 | 11,389 | 52.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Sierra shifted 3.7 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Sierra has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Sierra voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Sierra has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Sierra?
Sierra's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 12.4 points (665 votes) out of 5,485 total votes cast.
Has Sierra ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Sierra has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Sierra?
The widest margin on record for Sierra was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 30.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Sierra relative to its population?
In 2024, 5,953 votes were recorded in Sierra against a total population of 11,389 (52.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Sierra a presidential bellwether county?
Sierra has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).