Sandoval, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Sandoval, New Mexico has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,423 | 48.6% | 1.7 pts (524 votes) | 31,755 | — | 1.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 22,628 | 50.8% | 2.7 pts (1,207 votes) | 44,541 | -1.0 pts | 1.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 32,669 | 55.7% | 12.8 pts (7,476 votes) | 58,630 | +15.7 pts | 2.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 27,236 | 50.4% | 5.3 pts (2,849 votes) | 54,079 | -7.4 pts | 5.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 27,707 | 44.9% | 2.9 pts (1,802 votes) | 61,690 | -2.2 pts | 5.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 40,588 | 53.0% | 8.4 pts (6,414 votes) | 76,562 | +5.2 pts | 2.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 41,205 | 51.8% | 5.8 pts (4,600 votes) | 79,540 | -2.7 pts | 0.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 91,251 | 34.8% of population |
| 2004 | 102,583 | 43.4% of population |
| 2008 | 125,368 | 46.8% of population |
| 2012 | 135,380 | 39.9% of population |
| 2016 | 140,464 | 43.9% of population |
| 2020 | 149,301 | 51.3% of population |
| 2024 | 157,757 | 50.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Sandoval shifted 7.6 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Sandoval has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Sandoval voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Sandoval has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Sandoval?
Sandoval's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 1.7 points (524 votes) out of 31,755 total votes cast.
Has Sandoval ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Sandoval changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Sandoval?
The widest margin on record for Sandoval was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 12.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Sandoval relative to its population?
In 2024, 79,540 votes were recorded in Sandoval against a total population of 157,757 (50.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Sandoval a presidential bellwether county?
Sandoval has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).