San Miguel, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
San Miguel, New Mexico has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 22.4 pts more Dem. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 6,540 | 71.4% | 47.2 pts (4,325 votes) | 9,161 | — | 49.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 8,683 | 71.7% | 44.3 pts (5,370 votes) | 12,116 | -4.6 pts | 45.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 10,320 | 79.7% | 60.6 pts (7,842 votes) | 12,941 | +16.5 pts | 45.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 8,850 | 76.9% | 56.9 pts (6,547 votes) | 11,509 | -2.6 pts | 48.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 7,285 | 67.8% | 46.2 pts (4,972 votes) | 10,751 | -6.9 pts | 42.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 7,888 | 68.4% | 38.7 pts (4,467 votes) | 11,531 | -12.3 pts | 28.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 6,985 | 62.9% | 27.9 pts (3,098 votes) | 11,108 | -11.0 pts | 22.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 30,052 | 30.5% of population |
| 2004 | 29,547 | 41.0% of population |
| 2008 | 29,234 | 44.3% of population |
| 2012 | 29,091 | 39.6% of population |
| 2016 | 28,005 | 38.4% of population |
| 2020 | 27,128 | 42.5% of population |
| 2024 | 26,428 | 42.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in San Miguel shifted 20.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
San Miguel has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has San Miguel voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, San Miguel has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in San Miguel?
San Miguel's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 28.5 points (3,098 votes) out of 11,108 total votes cast.
Has San Miguel ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- San Miguel has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in San Miguel?
The widest margin on record for San Miguel was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 61.3 points.
How many votes were cast in San Miguel relative to its population?
In 2024, 11,108 votes were recorded in San Miguel against a total population of 26,428 (42.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is San Miguel a presidential bellwether county?
San Miguel has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).