Rio Arriba, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Rio Arriba, New Mexico has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 13.7 pts more Dem. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 8,169 | 67.5% | 38.6 pts (4,674 votes) | 12,097 | — | 40.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 9,753 | 65.0% | 30.7 pts (4,604 votes) | 14,999 | -9.2 pts | 31.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 12,703 | 75.0% | 50.9 pts (8,617 votes) | 16,940 | +20.4 pts | 36.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 11,465 | 74.7% | 52.6 pts (8,068 votes) | 15,343 | +3.0 pts | 43.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 9,592 | 64.5% | 40.3 pts (5,993 votes) | 14,878 | -8.9 pts | 36.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 10,990 | 66.1% | 33.6 pts (5,582 votes) | 16,628 | -11.4 pts | 23.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 9,373 | 58.6% | 19.4 pts (3,105 votes) | 15,989 | -14.2 pts | 13.7 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 41,197 | 29.4% of population |
| 2004 | 40,342 | 37.2% of population |
| 2008 | 40,008 | 42.3% of population |
| 2012 | 40,195 | 38.2% of population |
| 2016 | 39,245 | 37.9% of population |
| 2020 | 40,268 | 41.3% of population |
| 2024 | 39,955 | 40.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Rio Arriba shifted 20.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Rio Arriba has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Rio Arriba voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Rio Arriba has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Rio Arriba?
Rio Arriba's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 19.9 points (3,105 votes) out of 15,989 total votes cast.
Has Rio Arriba ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Rio Arriba has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Rio Arriba?
The widest margin on record for Rio Arriba was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 54.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Rio Arriba relative to its population?
In 2024, 15,989 votes were recorded in Rio Arriba against a total population of 39,955 (40.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Rio Arriba a presidential bellwether county?
Rio Arriba has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).