Otero, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Otero, New Mexico has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 33.7 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,258 | 63.3% | 29.6 pts (4,793 votes) | 16,204 | — | 30.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,066 | 67.7% | 36.8 pts (7,633 votes) | 20,764 | -6.8 pts | 36.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 12,806 | 58.8% | 19.3 pts (4,196 votes) | 21,766 | +17.6 pts | 34.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 12,451 | 62.2% | 28.1 pts (5,622 votes) | 20,012 | -9.6 pts | 39.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 11,887 | 59.3% | 28.7 pts (5,763 votes) | 20,060 | -2.8 pts | 41.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 14,521 | 61.6% | 25.6 pts (6,036 votes) | 23,571 | +5.8 pts | 37.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,117 | 62.4% | 27.0 pts (6,535 votes) | 24,242 | -1.3 pts | 33.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 62,151 | 26.1% of population |
| 2004 | 62,662 | 33.1% of population |
| 2008 | 62,498 | 34.8% of population |
| 2012 | 66,208 | 30.2% of population |
| 2016 | 65,647 | 30.6% of population |
| 2020 | 67,866 | 34.7% of population |
| 2024 | 69,711 | 34.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Otero shifted 2.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Otero has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Otero voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Otero has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Otero?
Otero's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 19.6 points (4,196 votes) out of 21,766 total votes cast.
Has Otero ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Otero has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Otero?
The widest margin on record for Otero was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 37.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Otero relative to its population?
In 2024, 24,242 votes were recorded in Otero against a total population of 69,711 (34.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Otero a presidential bellwether county?
Otero has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).