McKinley, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
McKinley, New Mexico has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 19.2 pts more Dem. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 10,281 | 64.7% | 32.8 pts (5,211 votes) | 15,879 | — | 33.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 13,051 | 63.3% | 27.6 pts (5,700 votes) | 20,623 | -6.0 pts | 28.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 16,572 | 71.4% | 43.9 pts (10,190 votes) | 23,207 | +16.5 pts | 29.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 15,841 | 72.2% | 46.9 pts (10,295 votes) | 21,929 | +3.7 pts | 37.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 13,576 | 62.6% | 39.0 pts (8,472 votes) | 21,703 | -2.8 pts | 36.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 18,029 | 68.1% | 38.6 pts (10,228 votes) | 26,486 | -5.8 pts | 28.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 15,711 | 60.7% | 24.5 pts (6,347 votes) | 25,867 | -14.3 pts | 19.2 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 74,563 | 21.3% of population |
| 2004 | 71,500 | 28.8% of population |
| 2008 | 70,449 | 32.9% of population |
| 2012 | 72,365 | 30.3% of population |
| 2016 | 73,028 | 29.7% of population |
| 2020 | 72,586 | 36.5% of population |
| 2024 | 68,945 | 37.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in McKinley shifted 8.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
McKinley has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has McKinley voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, McKinley has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in McKinley?
McKinley's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 25.3 points (6,347 votes) out of 25,867 total votes cast.
Has McKinley ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- McKinley has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in McKinley?
The widest margin on record for McKinley was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 48.1 points.
How many votes were cast in McKinley relative to its population?
In 2024, 25,867 votes were recorded in McKinley against a total population of 68,945 (37.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is McKinley a presidential bellwether county?
McKinley has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).