Lea, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Lea, New Mexico has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 68.6 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,157 | 71.2% | 44.2 pts (6,302 votes) | 14,256 | — | 45.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,430 | 79.4% | 59.3 pts (10,784 votes) | 18,181 | -14.7 pts | 58.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 13,347 | 71.6% | 44.2 pts (8,239 votes) | 18,645 | +15.0 pts | 60.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 12,548 | 73.7% | 49.8 pts (8,468 votes) | 17,015 | -6.3 pts | 61.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 12,495 | 70.5% | 48.4 pts (8,565 votes) | 17,712 | -1.2 pts | 61.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,531 | 79.0% | 59.6 pts (12,470 votes) | 20,918 | -8.4 pts | 71.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,997 | 80.1% | 61.6 pts (13,067 votes) | 21,209 | -1.9 pts | 68.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 55,264 | 25.8% of population |
| 2004 | 57,471 | 31.6% of population |
| 2008 | 62,737 | 29.7% of population |
| 2012 | 66,362 | 25.6% of population |
| 2016 | 70,249 | 25.2% of population |
| 2020 | 74,643 | 28.0% of population |
| 2024 | 75,151 | 28.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lea shifted 17.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Lea has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Lea voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Lea has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Lea?
Lea's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 44.6 points (8,239 votes) out of 18,645 total votes cast.
Has Lea ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Lea has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lea?
The widest margin on record for Lea was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 62.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Lea relative to its population?
In 2024, 21,209 votes were recorded in Lea against a total population of 75,151 (28.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Lea a presidential bellwether county?
Lea has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).