Hidalgo, New Mexico — Presidential Election Results
Hidalgo, New Mexico has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 29.7 pts more Rep. than New Mexico overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 954 | 52.0% | 6.3 pts (115 votes) | 1,834 | — | 6.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,081 | 55.0% | 11.2 pts (220 votes) | 1,964 | -4.9 pts | 10.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 993 | 50.9% | 2.9 pts (57 votes) | 1,951 | +14.3 pts | 12.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 995 | 51.4% | 5.0 pts (96 votes) | 1,935 | +2.1 pts | 5.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 910 | 48.6% | 6.7 pts (126 votes) | 1,872 | -12.5 pts | 16.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,120 | 56.7% | 15.0 pts (297 votes) | 1,974 | -7.8 pts | 26.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,140 | 61.3% | 23.4 pts (435 votes) | 1,861 | -8.3 pts | 29.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 5,766 | 31.8% of population |
| 2004 | 5,028 | 39.1% of population |
| 2008 | 5,022 | 38.8% of population |
| 2012 | 4,780 | 40.5% of population |
| 2016 | 4,324 | 43.3% of population |
| 2020 | 4,163 | 47.4% of population |
| 2024 | 3,966 | 46.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hidalgo shifted 17.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hidalgo has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Mexico Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hidalgo voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hidalgo has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hidalgo?
Hidalgo's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 3.0 points (57 votes) out of 1,951 total votes cast.
Has Hidalgo ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Hidalgo changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hidalgo?
The widest margin on record for Hidalgo was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 23.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Hidalgo relative to its population?
In 2024, 1,861 votes were recorded in Hidalgo against a total population of 3,966 (46.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hidalgo a presidential bellwether county?
Hidalgo has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and New Mexico's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).