Van Buren, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Van Buren, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 30.1 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,485 | 49.9% | 4.1 pts (283 votes) | 6,984 | — | 1.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,988 | 54.1% | 9.2 pts (678 votes) | 7,374 | -5.1 pts | 0.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,276 | 63.8% | 31.7 pts (2,125 votes) | 6,703 | -23.8 pts | 12.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,365 | 67.9% | 39.4 pts (2,533 votes) | 6,430 | -7.8 pts | 16.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,382 | 73.3% | 52.2 pts (3,833 votes) | 7,339 | -14.4 pts | 26.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,034 | 77.3% | 56.9 pts (4,441 votes) | 7,807 | -2.9 pts | 29.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,023 | 79.0% | 60.2 pts (4,586 votes) | 7,621 | -3.2 pts | 30.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 16,221 | 43.1% of population |
| 2004 | 16,664 | 44.3% of population |
| 2008 | 17,373 | 38.6% of population |
| 2012 | 17,162 | 37.5% of population |
| 2016 | 16,669 | 44.0% of population |
| 2020 | 15,797 | 49.4% of population |
| 2024 | 16,152 | 47.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Van Buren shifted 57.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Van Buren has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Van Buren voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Van Buren has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Van Buren?
Van Buren's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 4.2 points (283 votes) out of 6,984 total votes cast.
Has Van Buren ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Van Buren has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Van Buren?
The widest margin on record for Van Buren was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 61.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Van Buren relative to its population?
In 2024, 7,621 votes were recorded in Van Buren against a total population of 16,152 (47.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Van Buren a presidential bellwether county?
Van Buren has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).