Ashley, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Ashley, Arkansas has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 17.4 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 4,253 | 51.4% | 4.6 pts (377 votes) | 8,271 | — | 10.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,567 | 53.7% | 8.1 pts (686 votes) | 8,512 | -12.8 pts | 1.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,406 | 62.6% | 28.1 pts (2,430 votes) | 8,642 | -20.9 pts | 8.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,867 | 61.4% | 25.4 pts (2,008 votes) | 7,921 | +3.0 pts | 1.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,338 | 66.0% | 36.2 pts (2,930 votes) | 8,083 | -11.8 pts | 9.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,548 | 70.0% | 43.2 pts (3,423 votes) | 7,926 | -6.8 pts | 16.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,145 | 73.2% | 48.0 pts (3,371 votes) | 7,030 | -4.1 pts | 17.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 24,179 | 34.2% of population |
| 2004 | 23,156 | 36.8% of population |
| 2008 | 22,148 | 39.0% of population |
| 2012 | 21,515 | 36.8% of population |
| 2016 | 20,530 | 39.4% of population |
| 2020 | 18,963 | 41.8% of population |
| 2024 | 17,984 | 39.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Ashley shifted 53.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Ashley has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Ashley voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Ashley has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Ashley?
Ashley's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 4.6 points (377 votes) out of 8,271 total votes cast.
Has Ashley ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Ashley changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Ashley?
The widest margin on record for Ashley was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 48.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Ashley relative to its population?
In 2024, 7,030 votes were recorded in Ashley against a total population of 17,984 (39.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Ashley a presidential bellwether county?
Ashley has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).