Arkansas, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Arkansas, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 13.5 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,353 | 52.6% | 7.5 pts (476 votes) | 6,372 | — | 2.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,789 | 54.5% | 9.8 pts (679 votes) | 6,946 | -2.2 pts | 0.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,185 | 60.0% | 22.4 pts (1,566 votes) | 6,978 | -13.2 pts | 2.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,897 | 60.0% | 22.2 pts (1,442 votes) | 6,494 | +0.3 pts | 1.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,826 | 61.6% | 30.4 pts (1,887 votes) | 6,212 | -10.0 pts | 4.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,304 | 68.4% | 39.5 pts (2,486 votes) | 6,292 | -7.9 pts | 12.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,951 | 71.2% | 44.1 pts (2,448 votes) | 5,547 | -4.3 pts | 13.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 20,776 | 30.7% of population |
| 2004 | 19,967 | 34.8% of population |
| 2008 | 19,275 | 36.2% of population |
| 2012 | 18,964 | 34.2% of population |
| 2016 | 18,154 | 34.2% of population |
| 2020 | 17,104 | 36.8% of population |
| 2024 | 16,050 | 34.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Arkansas shifted 37.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Arkansas has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Arkansas voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Arkansas has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Arkansas?
Arkansas's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 7.6 points (476 votes) out of 6,372 total votes cast.
Has Arkansas ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Arkansas has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Arkansas?
The widest margin on record for Arkansas was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 44.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Arkansas relative to its population?
In 2024, 5,547 votes were recorded in Arkansas against a total population of 16,050 (34.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Arkansas a presidential bellwether county?
Arkansas has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).