Cleburne, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results

Cleburne, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 37.7 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Arkansas
2000 George W. Bush Republican 5,730 56.1% 15.8 pts (1,610 votes) 10,207 — 10.7 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 7,001 59.2% 19.4 pts (2,299 votes) 11,835 -3.3 pts 9.6 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 7,962 70.2% 44.2 pts (5,011 votes) 11,338 -26.3 pts 25.6 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 8,693 74.6% 52.1 pts (6,073 votes) 11,647 -7.8 pts 29.4 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 9,458 78.3% 60.9 pts (7,357 votes) 12,085 -10.0 pts 35.1 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 10,328 81.5% 65.8 pts (8,340 votes) 12,680 -4.1 pts 39.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 10,595 83.2% 67.9 pts (8,654 votes) 12,739 -1.3 pts 37.7 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 24,100 42.4% of population
2004 25,018 47.3% of population
2008 25,623 44.2% of population
2012 25,763 45.2% of population
2016 25,173 48.0% of population
2020 24,716 51.3% of population
2024 25,646 49.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cleburne shifted 52.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+16.3 pts 2004: R+19.6 pts 2008: R+45.9 pts 2012: R+53.7 pts 2016: R+63.6 pts 2020: R+67.7 pts 2024: R+69.0 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Cleburne has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Arkansas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Cleburne voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Cleburne has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Cleburne?

Cleburne's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 16.3 points (1,610 votes) out of 10,207 total votes cast.

Has Cleburne ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Cleburne has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cleburne?

The widest margin on record for Cleburne was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 69.0 points.

How many votes were cast in Cleburne relative to its population?

In 2024, 12,739 votes were recorded in Cleburne against a total population of 25,646 (49.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Cleburne a presidential bellwether county?

Cleburne has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).