Carroll, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Carroll, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 1.1 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,556 | 57.9% | 20.4 pts (1,961 votes) | 9,590 | — | 15.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,184 | 59.0% | 19.3 pts (2,023 votes) | 10,481 | +1.9 pts | 9.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 6,083 | 57.5% | 18.1 pts (1,911 votes) | 10,579 | +0.9 pts | 1.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 6,125 | 60.1% | 23.9 pts (2,429 votes) | 10,183 | -6.1 pts | 0.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 6,786 | 63.1% | 32.0 pts (3,444 votes) | 10,758 | -9.3 pts | 5.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,424 | 62.9% | 28.8 pts (3,401 votes) | 11,797 | +4.3 pts | 1.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,470 | 64.7% | 31.7 pts (3,658 votes) | 11,538 | -2.7 pts | 1.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 25,369 | 37.8% of population |
| 2004 | 26,052 | 40.2% of population |
| 2008 | 26,822 | 39.4% of population |
| 2012 | 27,623 | 36.9% of population |
| 2016 | 27,728 | 38.8% of population |
| 2020 | 28,241 | 41.8% of population |
| 2024 | 28,968 | 39.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Carroll shifted 11.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Carroll has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Carroll voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Carroll has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Carroll?
Carroll's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 18.6 points (1,911 votes) out of 10,579 total votes cast.
Has Carroll ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Carroll has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Carroll?
The widest margin on record for Carroll was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 34.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Carroll relative to its population?
In 2024, 11,538 votes were recorded in Carroll against a total population of 28,968 (39.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Carroll a presidential bellwether county?
Carroll has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).