St. Francis, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results

St. Francis, Arkansas has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 32.1 pts more Dem. than Arkansas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Arkansas
2000 Al Gore Democratic 4,986 58.7% 18.5 pts (1,572 votes) 8,496 — 24.3 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 5,684 59.3% 19.5 pts (1,869 votes) 9,588 +1.0 pts 29.7 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 5,486 57.7% 16.5 pts (1,569 votes) 9,505 -3.0 pts 37.0 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 4,910 58.7% 18.4 pts (1,542 votes) 8,362 +1.9 pts 42.9 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 4,031 54.3% 11.3 pts (836 votes) 7,430 -7.1 pts 40.1 pts more Dem.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 3,604 50.7% 5.1 pts (362 votes) 7,108 -6.3 pts 33.7 pts more Dem.
2024 Kamala D Harris Democratic 2,953 49.4% 0.7 pts (44 votes) 5,979 -4.5 pts 32.1 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 29,325 29.0% of population
2004 28,905 33.2% of population
2008 28,110 33.8% of population
2012 27,992 29.9% of population
2016 26,347 28.2% of population
2020 23,019 30.9% of population
2024 21,822 27.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in St. Francis shifted 18.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+18.7 pts 2004: D+19.7 pts 2008: D+16.7 pts 2012: D+18.6 pts 2016: D+11.6 pts 2020: D+5.3 pts 2024: D+0.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

St. Francis has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Arkansas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has St. Francis voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, St. Francis has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in St. Francis?

St. Francis's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Kamala D Harris (Democratic) won by 0.8 points (44 votes) out of 5,979 total votes cast.

Has St. Francis ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- St. Francis has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in St. Francis?

The widest margin on record for St. Francis was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 19.7 points.

How many votes were cast in St. Francis relative to its population?

In 2024, 5,979 votes were recorded in St. Francis against a total population of 21,822 (27.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is St. Francis a presidential bellwether county?

St. Francis has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).