Saline, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Saline, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 9.7 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 18,617 | 57.5% | 18.3 pts (5,917 votes) | 32,391 | — | 13.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 24,864 | 63.1% | 27.2 pts (10,711 votes) | 39,376 | -8.6 pts | 17.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 30,981 | 69.4% | 41.0 pts (18,286 votes) | 44,653 | -14.4 pts | 21.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 32,963 | 70.0% | 42.7 pts (20,094 votes) | 47,062 | -2.0 pts | 19.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 35,863 | 68.8% | 43.4 pts (22,607 votes) | 52,100 | -2.2 pts | 17.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 39,556 | 69.4% | 41.3 pts (23,496 votes) | 56,959 | +3.8 pts | 13.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 39,736 | 69.0% | 40.1 pts (23,127 votes) | 57,609 | +1.2 pts | 9.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 84,084 | 38.5% of population |
| 2004 | 90,961 | 43.3% of population |
| 2008 | 102,599 | 43.5% of population |
| 2012 | 111,442 | 42.2% of population |
| 2016 | 117,656 | 44.3% of population |
| 2020 | 123,820 | 46.0% of population |
| 2024 | 131,252 | 43.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Saline shifted 22.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Saline has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Saline voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Saline has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Saline?
Saline's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 18.9 points (5,917 votes) out of 32,391 total votes cast.
Has Saline ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Saline has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Saline?
The widest margin on record for Saline was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 46.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Saline relative to its population?
In 2024, 57,609 votes were recorded in Saline against a total population of 131,252 (43.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Saline a presidential bellwether county?
Saline has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).