Prairie, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Prairie, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 35.4 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,862 | 53.1% | 8.5 pts (299 votes) | 3,507 | — | 3.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,030 | 56.0% | 12.9 pts (468 votes) | 3,624 | -4.3 pts | 3.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,223 | 65.7% | 34.8 pts (1,175 votes) | 3,381 | -22.9 pts | 15.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,153 | 68.5% | 40.5 pts (1,273 votes) | 3,141 | -6.0 pts | 17.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,505 | 72.7% | 49.1 pts (1,691 votes) | 3,444 | -9.0 pts | 22.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,786 | 79.7% | 61.0 pts (2,132 votes) | 3,495 | -11.0 pts | 33.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,628 | 82.1% | 65.8 pts (2,104 votes) | 3,200 | -4.8 pts | 35.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 9,491 | 37.0% of population |
| 2004 | 9,111 | 39.8% of population |
| 2008 | 8,806 | 38.4% of population |
| 2012 | 8,482 | 37.0% of population |
| 2016 | 8,252 | 41.7% of population |
| 2020 | 8,247 | 42.4% of population |
| 2024 | 7,935 | 40.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Prairie shifted 58.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Prairie has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Prairie voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Prairie has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Prairie?
Prairie's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 8.7 points (299 votes) out of 3,507 total votes cast.
Has Prairie ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Prairie has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Prairie?
The widest margin on record for Prairie was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 66.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Prairie relative to its population?
In 2024, 3,200 votes were recorded in Prairie against a total population of 7,935 (40.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Prairie a presidential bellwether county?
Prairie has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).