Polk, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results

Polk, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 40.5 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Arkansas
2000 George W. Bush Republican 4,600 64.0% 31.8 pts (2,285 votes) 7,193 — 27.4 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 5,192 66.6% 34.9 pts (2,719 votes) 7,799 -2.4 pts 25.5 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 5,473 71.3% 45.8 pts (3,516 votes) 7,681 -11.8 pts 27.0 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 5,955 77.1% 56.9 pts (4,399 votes) 7,726 -11.2 pts 34.3 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 6,618 80.4% 65.7 pts (5,406 votes) 8,231 -10.5 pts 40.5 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 7,035 82.9% 68.2 pts (5,789 votes) 8,490 -0.9 pts 41.5 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 6,987 84.3% 70.5 pts (5,842 votes) 8,288 -1.9 pts 40.5 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 20,268 35.5% of population
2004 20,057 38.9% of population
2008 20,388 37.7% of population
2012 20,420 37.8% of population
2016 20,145 40.9% of population
2020 19,186 44.3% of population
2024 19,434 42.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Polk shifted 38.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+33.0 pts 2004: R+35.5 pts 2008: R+47.3 pts 2012: R+58.6 pts 2016: R+69.0 pts 2020: R+69.9 pts 2024: R+71.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Polk has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Arkansas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Polk voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Polk has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Polk?

Polk's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 33.0 points (2,285 votes) out of 7,193 total votes cast.

Has Polk ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Polk has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Polk?

The widest margin on record for Polk was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 71.8 points.

How many votes were cast in Polk relative to its population?

In 2024, 8,288 votes were recorded in Polk against a total population of 19,434 (42.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Polk a presidential bellwether county?

Polk has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).