Monroe, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Monroe, Arkansas has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2008. In 2024, it was 15.3 pts more Dem. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 1,910 | 58.0% | 17.6 pts (581 votes) | 3,293 | — | 23.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 2,049 | 55.9% | 12.6 pts (463 votes) | 3,667 | -5.2 pts | 22.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,754 | 50.9% | 4.0 pts (139 votes) | 3,449 | -16.9 pts | 16.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,585 | 49.1% | 0.1 pts (2 votes) | 3,230 | +4.1 pts | 24.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,489 | 51.6% | 6.1 pts (177 votes) | 2,884 | -6.3 pts | 22.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,545 | 54.9% | 14.1 pts (398 votes) | 2,816 | -8.5 pts | 13.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,385 | 56.9% | 15.7 pts (383 votes) | 2,433 | -1.3 pts | 15.3 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 10,182 | 32.3% of population |
| 2004 | 9,287 | 39.5% of population |
| 2008 | 8,456 | 40.8% of population |
| 2012 | 7,854 | 41.1% of population |
| 2016 | 7,205 | 40.0% of population |
| 2020 | 6,771 | 41.6% of population |
| 2024 | 6,415 | 37.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Monroe shifted 34.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Monroe has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Monroe voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Monroe has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Monroe?
Monroe's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 0.1 points (2 votes) out of 3,230 total votes cast.
Has Monroe ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Monroe changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Monroe?
The widest margin on record for Monroe was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 17.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Monroe relative to its population?
In 2024, 2,433 votes were recorded in Monroe against a total population of 6,415 (37.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Monroe a presidential bellwether county?
Monroe has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).