Mississippi, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Mississippi, Arkansas has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2008. In 2024, it was 0.8 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 7,107 | 56.5% | 15.2 pts (1,908 votes) | 12,586 | — | 21.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 7,593 | 53.6% | 10.4 pts (1,472 votes) | 14,153 | -4.8 pts | 20.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 6,976 | 49.8% | 2.2 pts (309 votes) | 14,010 | -13.0 pts | 18.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 6,603 | 49.4% | 1.0 pts (136 votes) | 13,375 | +1.2 pts | 23.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 7,061 | 53.5% | 10.5 pts (1,391 votes) | 13,204 | -9.9 pts | 17.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,296 | 59.1% | 22.2 pts (2,738 votes) | 12,342 | -12.2 pts | 5.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,963 | 65.0% | 31.6 pts (3,389 votes) | 10,717 | -9.1 pts | 0.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 51,849 | 24.3% of population |
| 2004 | 47,777 | 29.6% of population |
| 2008 | 47,037 | 29.8% of population |
| 2012 | 45,553 | 29.4% of population |
| 2016 | 42,900 | 30.8% of population |
| 2020 | 40,545 | 30.4% of population |
| 2024 | 38,095 | 28.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Mississippi shifted 47.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Mississippi has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Mississippi voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Mississippi has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Mississippi?
Mississippi's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 1.0 points (136 votes) out of 13,375 total votes cast.
Has Mississippi ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Mississippi changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Mississippi?
The widest margin on record for Mississippi was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 32.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Mississippi relative to its population?
In 2024, 10,717 votes were recorded in Mississippi against a total population of 38,095 (28.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Mississippi a presidential bellwether county?
Mississippi has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).