Miller, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Miller, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 20.4 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,276 | 52.9% | 7.3 pts (998 votes) | 13,745 | — | 1.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 8,448 | 57.6% | 15.7 pts (2,309 votes) | 14,678 | -8.5 pts | 5.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 9,913 | 65.8% | 33.5 pts (5,044 votes) | 15,063 | -18.3 pts | 13.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 10,622 | 69.3% | 39.8 pts (6,104 votes) | 15,329 | -6.2 pts | 16.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 11,294 | 70.2% | 43.6 pts (7,021 votes) | 16,091 | -4.8 pts | 16.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 11,920 | 72.1% | 46.4 pts (7,675 votes) | 16,529 | -2.4 pts | 19.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 11,842 | 74.9% | 51.1 pts (8,073 votes) | 15,803 | -4.2 pts | 20.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 40,436 | 34.0% of population |
| 2004 | 41,765 | 35.1% of population |
| 2008 | 43,047 | 35.0% of population |
| 2012 | 43,663 | 35.1% of population |
| 2016 | 43,713 | 36.8% of population |
| 2020 | 42,586 | 38.8% of population |
| 2024 | 41,958 | 37.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Miller shifted 44.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Miller has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Miller voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Miller has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Miller?
Miller's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 7.4 points (998 votes) out of 13,745 total votes cast.
Has Miller ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Miller has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Miller?
The widest margin on record for Miller was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 51.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Miller relative to its population?
In 2024, 15,803 votes were recorded in Miller against a total population of 41,958 (37.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Miller a presidential bellwether county?
Miller has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).