Madison, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Madison, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 28.2 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,387 | 60.2% | 23.7 pts (1,332 votes) | 5,628 | — | 18.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,873 | 60.7% | 22.7 pts (1,452 votes) | 6,384 | +1.4 pts | 13.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,972 | 62.8% | 28.9 pts (1,828 votes) | 6,328 | -6.8 pts | 9.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,263 | 64.9% | 32.9 pts (2,164 votes) | 6,568 | -4.1 pts | 9.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,928 | 72.0% | 48.8 pts (3,340 votes) | 6,841 | -17.2 pts | 22.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,658 | 77.0% | 55.7 pts (4,095 votes) | 7,351 | -5.5 pts | 28.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,885 | 78.5% | 58.6 pts (4,394 votes) | 7,501 | -2.9 pts | 28.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 14,272 | 39.4% of population |
| 2004 | 14,437 | 44.2% of population |
| 2008 | 15,619 | 40.5% of population |
| 2012 | 15,597 | 42.1% of population |
| 2016 | 16,112 | 42.5% of population |
| 2020 | 16,560 | 44.4% of population |
| 2024 | 17,865 | 42.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Madison shifted 35.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Madison has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Madison voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Madison has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Madison?
Madison's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 23.1 points (1,452 votes) out of 6,384 total votes cast.
Has Madison ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Madison has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Madison?
The widest margin on record for Madison was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 59.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Madison relative to its population?
In 2024, 7,501 votes were recorded in Madison against a total population of 17,865 (42.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Madison a presidential bellwether county?
Madison has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).