Lonoke, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Lonoke, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 23.4 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,606 | 59.1% | 20.9 pts (3,755 votes) | 17,943 | — | 15.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,398 | 65.4% | 31.5 pts (6,944 votes) | 22,030 | -10.3 pts | 21.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 17,242 | 72.6% | 47.5 pts (11,274 votes) | 23,741 | -16.8 pts | 28.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 17,880 | 74.1% | 50.8 pts (12,255 votes) | 24,114 | -3.6 pts | 27.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 19,958 | 73.6% | 52.7 pts (14,294 votes) | 27,100 | -3.7 pts | 27.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 22,884 | 74.6% | 52.8 pts (16,198 votes) | 30,662 | +1.0 pts | 26.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,225 | 75.8% | 53.7 pts (16,435 votes) | 30,620 | +0.0 pts | 23.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 53,153 | 33.8% of population |
| 2004 | 58,449 | 37.7% of population |
| 2008 | 66,086 | 35.9% of population |
| 2012 | 70,109 | 34.4% of population |
| 2016 | 71,803 | 37.7% of population |
| 2020 | 74,072 | 41.4% of population |
| 2024 | 76,389 | 40.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lonoke shifted 33.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Lonoke has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Lonoke voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Lonoke has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Lonoke?
Lonoke's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 21.5 points (3,755 votes) out of 17,943 total votes cast.
Has Lonoke ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Lonoke has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lonoke?
The widest margin on record for Lonoke was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 55.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Lonoke relative to its population?
In 2024, 30,620 votes were recorded in Lonoke against a total population of 76,389 (40.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Lonoke a presidential bellwether county?
Lonoke has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).