Conway, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results
Conway, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 9.9 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,545 | 49.0% | 0.7 pts (49 votes) | 7,234 | — | 4.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,293 | 49.6% | 0.4 pts (34 votes) | 8,649 | +0.3 pts | 9.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,691 | 57.6% | 18.9 pts (1,542 votes) | 8,138 | -19.3 pts | 0.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,514 | 58.4% | 19.5 pts (1,509 votes) | 7,730 | -0.4 pts | 4.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,849 | 61.2% | 27.7 pts (2,193 votes) | 7,927 | -9.2 pts | 0.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,694 | 65.6% | 35.5 pts (3,079 votes) | 8,685 | -7.8 pts | 8.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,893 | 69.0% | 40.3 pts (3,444 votes) | 8,541 | -4.2 pts | 9.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 20,312 | 35.6% of population |
| 2004 | 20,519 | 42.2% of population |
| 2008 | 21,025 | 38.7% of population |
| 2012 | 21,141 | 36.6% of population |
| 2016 | 20,874 | 38.0% of population |
| 2020 | 20,734 | 41.9% of population |
| 2024 | 21,422 | 39.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Conway shifted 40.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Conway has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Arkansas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Conway voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Conway has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Conway?
Conway's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 0.4 points (34 votes) out of 8,649 total votes cast.
Has Conway ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Conway has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Conway?
The widest margin on record for Conway was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 41.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Conway relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,541 votes were recorded in Conway against a total population of 21,422 (39.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Conway a presidential bellwether county?
Conway has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).