Columbia, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results

Columbia, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 5.7 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Arkansas
2000 George W. Bush Republican 5,018 53.9% 10.9 pts (1,015 votes) 9,307 — 5.7 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 5,729 57.8% 16.4 pts (1,621 votes) 9,909 -5.2 pts 6.5 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 5,861 61.3% 24.1 pts (2,307 votes) 9,558 -8.0 pts 4.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 5,790 61.2% 23.6 pts (2,233 votes) 9,455 +0.6 pts 0.4 pts more Dem.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 5,456 61.4% 26.1 pts (2,316 votes) 8,887 -3.1 pts 1.6 pts more Dem.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 5,500 63.8% 31.2 pts (2,686 votes) 8,616 -5.4 pts 3.9 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 5,367 67.6% 36.5 pts (2,901 votes) 7,940 -4.7 pts 5.7 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 25,599 36.4% of population
2004 25,154 39.4% of population
2008 24,666 38.7% of population
2012 24,413 38.7% of population
2016 24,026 37.0% of population
2020 22,743 37.9% of population
2024 22,024 36.1% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Columbia shifted 25.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+11.3 pts 2004: R+16.5 pts 2008: R+24.5 pts 2012: R+23.9 pts 2016: R+26.9 pts 2020: R+32.3 pts 2024: R+37.0 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Columbia has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Arkansas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Columbia voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Columbia has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Columbia?

Columbia's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 11.3 points (1,015 votes) out of 9,307 total votes cast.

Has Columbia ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Columbia has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Columbia?

The widest margin on record for Columbia was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 37.0 points.

How many votes were cast in Columbia relative to its population?

In 2024, 7,940 votes were recorded in Columbia against a total population of 22,024 (36.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Columbia a presidential bellwether county?

Columbia has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).