Cleveland, Arkansas — Presidential Election Results

Cleveland, Arkansas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 37.2 pts more Rep. than Arkansas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Arkansas
2000 George W. Bush Republican 1,678 52.8% 8.3 pts (264 votes) 3,181 — 2.9 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 2,009 57.5% 16.0 pts (559 votes) 3,496 -7.6 pts 6.2 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 2,451 69.9% 43.9 pts (1,540 votes) 3,505 -29.6 pts 25.5 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 2,313 70.8% 44.9 pts (1,468 votes) 3,266 -0.7 pts 22.2 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 2,462 73.4% 51.8 pts (1,739 votes) 3,354 -8.1 pts 26.0 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 2,867 79.6% 61.6 pts (2,216 votes) 3,600 -8.4 pts 34.6 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 2,804 83.1% 67.6 pts (2,280 votes) 3,374 -5.5 pts 37.2 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 8,536 37.3% of population
2004 8,744 40.0% of population
2008 8,775 39.9% of population
2012 8,609 37.9% of population
2016 8,245 40.7% of population
2020 7,554 47.7% of population
2024 7,367 45.8% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cleveland shifted 60.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+8.5 pts 2004: R+16.2 pts 2008: R+45.8 pts 2012: R+46.5 pts 2016: R+54.6 pts 2020: R+63.0 pts 2024: R+68.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Cleveland has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Arkansas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Cleveland voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Cleveland has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Cleveland?

Cleveland's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 8.5 points (264 votes) out of 3,181 total votes cast.

Has Cleveland ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Cleveland has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cleveland?

The widest margin on record for Cleveland was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 68.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Cleveland relative to its population?

In 2024, 3,374 votes were recorded in Cleveland against a total population of 7,367 (45.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Cleveland a presidential bellwether county?

Cleveland has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Arkansas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).