Victoria, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Victoria, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 29.0 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 18,787 | 68.5% | 38.7 pts (10,611 votes) | 27,408 | — | 17.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,875 | 70.5% | 41.6 pts (12,322 votes) | 29,602 | -2.5 pts | 18.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 19,878 | 66.4% | 33.6 pts (10,046 votes) | 29,931 | +8.1 pts | 21.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 19,692 | 68.2% | 37.7 pts (10,890 votes) | 28,853 | -4.4 pts | 22.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 21,275 | 68.4% | 39.9 pts (12,409 votes) | 31,123 | -3.0 pts | 31.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,358 | 68.3% | 38.0 pts (12,978 votes) | 34,188 | +2.7 pts | 32.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 25,010 | 70.8% | 42.5 pts (15,012 votes) | 35,315 | -4.4 pts | 29.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 83,937 | 32.7% of population |
| 2004 | 84,718 | 34.9% of population |
| 2008 | 85,762 | 34.9% of population |
| 2012 | 89,116 | 32.4% of population |
| 2016 | 92,402 | 33.7% of population |
| 2020 | 91,315 | 37.4% of population |
| 2024 | 91,949 | 38.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Victoria shifted 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Victoria has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Victoria voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Victoria has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Victoria?
Victoria's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 33.8 points (10,046 votes) out of 29,931 total votes cast.
Has Victoria ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Victoria has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Victoria?
The widest margin on record for Victoria was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 42.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Victoria relative to its population?
In 2024, 35,315 votes were recorded in Victoria against a total population of 91,949 (38.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Victoria a presidential bellwether county?
Victoria has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).